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lördag 4 november 2017



November 3, 2017
Inquiry & Analysis Series
 No.
1357

IRGC Commander Jafari In Message Meant To Reassure Europe: Right Now, We Are Settling For Missiles With 2,000-Km Range – A Range That Covers U.S. Forces In The Region

By: A. Savyon and Yigal Carmon*
Introduction
At an October 31, 2017 press conference at the World Without Terrorism convention in Iran, Mohammad Ali Jafari, commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), conveyed a message reassuring  Europe in the matter of Iran's ballistic missiles. He announced: "The range of our missiles is limited to 2,000 km, in accordance with the policy set out by [Iranian Supreme] Leader Khamenei. Even though we have the capability to increase this range, in the meantime this range is enough for us, because the Americans are sufficiently situated within a 2,000-km radius around Iran. We will respond to them if they attack us."[1]
The Meaning Of Jafari's Statement About Limiting Iranian Missiles' Range To 2,000 Km
This statement constitutes a message of reassurance for Europe, which is beyond the 2,000-km range of Iran's ballistic missiles. It is apparently aimed at reassuring European leaders who firmly support the continuation of the JCPOA but may support the U.S. initiative against Iran's ballistic missile program.
It should be clarified that Iran's limitation of its ballistic missiles to a range of 2,000 km has existed since the 2013 Geneva interim agreement, and it was reinforced prior to the JCPOA's acceptance in 2015.[2] According to Iranian Armed Forces chief of staff Hassan Firouzabadi, this limitation is part of the JCPOA, apparently in an unwritten understanding; it does not appear in the agreement itself because Iran refused to include any reference to its ballistic missile program in it. [3]
The 2,000-km range means that Israel is within striking distance. Iranian spokesmen have reiterated that Israel's inclusion in its ballistic missiles' striking distance is a red line for the Iranian regime that was not crossed in the nuclear negotiations with the U.S.[4]
What this means is that U.S. President Obama agreed to allow Iran to retain and continue developing its missile program with a range limited to targeting Israel, in order to reach the nuclear agreement with Iran, and that European countries agreed to this.[5] This is in addition to the U.S.'s basic agreement to Iran's having a long-range ballistic missile program, which was prohibited by UN Security Council Resolution 1929 and then permitted by UNSC Resolution 2231 that approved the JCPOA.
With this announcement, IRGC commander Jafari is revealing that the 2,000-km missile range to which the Obama administration consented covers not only Israel but also the U.S. military bases that are scattered across the Middle East. As he stressed, "In the meantime this [range] is enough for us, because the Americans are sufficiently situated within a 2,000-km radius around Iran. We will respond to them if they attack us."[6]
Also, on October 8, 2017, Jafari warned U.S. President Trump that Iran would strike U.S. military bases in the Middle East if Trump dared to designate the IRGC as a Foreign Terrorist Organization. If this happened, he said, the U.S. would "have to move its military bases [in the Middle East] beyond the Iranian missiles' range of 2,000 km."[7]
*A Savyon is the director of MEMRI's Iran Media Project; Y. Carmon is the president and founder of MEMRI.

Appendix: MEMRI Inquiry & Analysis No. 1298: According To Iranian Officials, Obama Administration Gave Unwritten Consent In The Nuclear Talks And In The JCPOA Negotiations For Iran To Develop Ballistic Missiles With A Range Of Only 2,000 km – That Is, Capable Of Striking Israel But Not Europe
By: A. Savyon, Y. Carmon, and U. Kafash*
Introduction
On January 30, 2017, U.S. sources announced that Iran had conducted a failed test of a new ballistic missile, the Khorramshahr. According to reports, the missile exploded after a 965-km flight.[8] Both Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif (on January 31) and Defense Minister Dehghan (on February 1) stressed that Iran "asks permission from no one in the matter of its defense program."[9]
It should be emphasized that contrary to statements by Iranian regime spokesmen who say that Iran's missile program is defensive, missiles with a 2,000-km range are strictly offensive and strategic. This is why Iran has faced constant demands to stop developing them.
In the years that preceded the U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, Iran developed ballistic missiles with ranges of 2,500-5,000 km that threaten Europe and even the U.S.
Dr. Hassan Abbasi, theoretician of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and director of the IRGC Center for Borderless Security Doctrinal Analysis, said in 2004: "We have a strategy drawn up for the destruction of Anglo-Saxon civilization and for the uprooting of the Americans and the English.
"Our missiles are now ready to strike at their civilization, and as soon as the instructions arrive from Leader [Ali Khamenei], we will launch our missiles at their cities and installations... And because of Khatami's policies and dialogue between the civilizations, we have been compelled to freeze our plan... and now we are [again] about to carry out the program... The global infidel front is a front against Allah and the Muslims, and we must make use of everything we have at hand to strike at this front, by means of our suicide operations or by means of our missiles."[10]
The London-based Saudi daily Al-Sharq Al-Awsat also reported, on June 14, 2004, that the Shihab 4 and Shihab 5 long-range missile projects had been revived, on orders from Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.[11]
It should be noted that a December 14, 2013 report on Iran's missile program published by the IRGC-affiliated Mehr news agency immediately following the Geneva Agreement provided details on the various Shihab models. According to the report, Shihab 3D missiles, with a range of 2,200-3,000 km, "can easily reach the occupied territories [Israel]... and cover their entire area." The report also stated that the Shihab 4 has a range of 3,000 km and the ability to launch satellites into orbit, and that "very little information" has been published about the Shihab 5. The diagrams in the article also feature a Shihab 6 model.[12]
U.S. Approves Iranian Development Of Missiles With A Range Of Only 2,000 km – That Is, Capable Of Reaching Israel
However, after U.S.-Iran negotiations began, and at the end of their first stage, in Geneva in November 2013, Iranian officials began reporting that Iran's missile program for missiles with ranges above 2,000 km was being restricted.
Thus, for example, immediately after the interim agreement was reached in Geneva, on December 10, 2013, and in reference to it, IRGC commander Mohammad Ali Jafari said that Iran is capable of producing missiles with a range of over 2,000 km but that Khamenei had restricted the IRGC to a 2,000-km range: "We want to increase the range of the IRGC's missiles, but despite this, the Leader [Khamenei] has restricted us to a range of 2,000 km. We have the capability to increase the range of our missiles, and our missiles should obviously reach Israel... The regime's red lines were not crossed during the nuclear talks with the P5+1 [Group] and in the Geneva Agreement."[13]
Indeed, IRGC commanders stressed that the most important thing for the regime was missiles capable of striking Israel; see, for example, comments by IRGC Aerospace and Missile Division director Amir Ali Hajizadeh, who said following a 2016 missile launch: "For us, Israel's evil is totally clear, and the 2,000-kilometer range of our missiles [is intended] to confront the distant Zionist regime."[14]

Iranian missile emblazoned with the slogan 'Israel Should Be Wiped Off The Face Of The Earth" (Fars, Iran, March 9, 2016)
On November 17, 2014, the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim news agency posted a diagram explaining that Iran "makes do" with a range of 2,000 km, which it considers "desirable" and which covers all of Israel: "On the Firing Line – The commanders of the army of the Islamic Republic [of Iran] have said several times that with its attainment of long-range missiles with a range of up to 2,000 km, Iran has arrived at the range ceiling that it considers desirable, and that 'in the meantime' there is no need to increase this range. Although the U.S. is 11,000 km from Iran, in recent years it has approached the borders of Iran, [and therefore] its military bases, equipment, and forces are a target for Iran's missiles.
"Likewise, the Zionist regime is the most important enemy of Iran in the region, and is less than 1,200 km away. Therefore, short- and medium-range missiles are sufficient to strike U.S. bases near Iran, and long-range missiles are sufficient to strike the occupied territories [Israel]. The diagram shows several of these American bases and [also] the missiles that are counting [down] to the moment [when they will be able to] strike them."[15]
Additionally, Defense Minister Hossein Dehghan said on August 18, 2015 in response to a reporter's question on the manufacture of missiles with a range greater than 2,000 km: "We do not produce missiles with ranges greater than 2,000 km."[16]
Is U.S. Permission For Iran To Develop Missiles With Ranges Up To 2,000 km – Which Reach Israel – A Secret Annex Of The JCPOA, Or Simply Unwritten Consent?
In statements, IRGC officials hinted that restrictions on the range of Iranian missiles so that they reach Israel but not Europe were part of the Iran deal. Thus, for instance, IRGC commander Mohammad Ali Jafari referred to the IRGC's November 2, 2015 consent to UN Security Council Resolution 2231, saying: "One of the points in this resolution was the matter of restrictions, which some military elements feared. Therefore, we held meetings in [Iran's] Supreme National Security Council, and also went to the Leader [Khamenei]. The [Iranian] negotiating team told the Westerners that we do not agree to these restrictions. They [the Westerners] said that these issues must be included in the resolution. Even when I met with the Leader, he said that there were no restrictions on developing defensive capabilities. The only restriction relates to nuclear missiles, which, obviously, we never wanted."[17]
The next day, on November 3, 2015, Iranian Army chief of staff Hassan Firouzabadi referred to Jafari's remarks, saying: "I confirm statements by the IRGC commander that Iran's missile activity is not restricted. We will follow two restrictions: The first is mentioned in the JCPOA, in the matter of no nuclear planning, and the second is the range of 2,000 km, which has already been noted previously by all elements in Iran."[18]
It should be noted that the Hebrew version of this news, which IRIB published on November 4, 2015 explicitly mentioned, in both the headline and the text, that the JCPOA allows Iran to possess ballistic missiles of a range of 2,000 km. The Hebrew news item read:
"Firouzabadi: The Nuclear Agreement Promises Iran Missiles With 2,000-km Range
"The chief of staff of Iran's armed forces, Maj.-Gen. Hassan Firouzabadi, stressed that the state, under orders from the general commander [i.e. Khamenei] of the IRGC, undertakes, inter alia, to restrict nuclear planning, but that it is entitled to produce missiles with a range of 2,000 km.
"Firouzabadi made these statements yesterday (Tuesday) to a group of Islamic regime leaders and officials, and referred to [statements by] the IRGC general commander emphasizing that Iran would commit to the sections of the nuclear agreement with the West that include a restriction on nuclear planning, and that in addition, Iran is entitled to possess missiles with a range of 2,000 km."[19]
These statements indicate that although the permission given to Iran to develop missiles capable of striking Israel is likely not a secret annex of the JCPOA, it still constitutes unwritten consent that is an integral part of the nuclear deal. It is convenient for both sides not to publish this understanding in written form – for Iran because it rejects any public reference to its missile program, which it defines as defensive but is in fact offensive; and for the Obama administration, because there would be repercussions if it were to be revealed that it had given Iran permission to develop missiles capable of striking Israel.
It should be noted that UN Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015) constitutes an additional concession by the Obama administration to Iran, in comparison with the previous resolution 1929 (2010). This concession has two components:
One, UNSCR 1929 banned Iran from conducting any activity concerning missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads, while UNSCR 2231 replaced the word "capable," which refers to objective specifications, with the word "intended," which concerns fluid political matters.
Two, while UNSCR 1929 banned Iran from conducting any missile activity, UNSCR 2231 rescinds this ban.
Following Iran's May 9, 2016 missile test, which took place after the JCPOA's Implementation Day – and which embarrassed the Obama administration – IRGC Aerospace and Missile Division director Amir Ali Hajizadeh said: "The Americans are telling [us]: 'Don't talk about missile affairs, and if you conduct a test or maneuver, don't mention it.'"[20]
*A. Savyon is Director of MEMRI's Iran Media Project; Y. Carmon is President of MEMRI; U. Kafash is a Research Fellow at MEMRI.

[1] Kayhan (Iran), October 31, 2017.
[2] See statements by, for example, IRGC commander Jafari on December 10, 2013, immediately after reaching the interim agreement in Geneva: "We want to increase the range of the IRGC's missiles, but despite this the Leader [Khamenei] has restricted us to a range of 2,000 km. We have the capability to increase the missiles' range, and certainly our missiles must reach Israel... The red lines of the regime were not be crossed in nuclear talks with the 5+1 or In the Geneva agreement" (ISNA, Iran, December 10, 2013). See also statements by IRGC Aerospace and Missiles Force commander Brig.-Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh, who said following a March 2016 missile launch that "our missiles' 2,000-km range is [aimed] at confronting the Zionist regime that is situated a long way away" (Fars, Iran, March 9, 2016).
[5] On July 10, 2015, MEMRI published a report on an intense conflict between Iran, backed by Russia, and the U. S. and Europe over Iran's ballistic missiles, following which the Obama administration apparently consented to Iran's red-line demand to be allowed 2,000-km range missiles. See Special Dispatch No.6100, Leaks From The Negotiation Room: Iran, Russia vs. U.S. In Verbal Clash Over Iran's Ballistic Missiles, July 10, 2015.
[6] Kayhan (Iran), October 31, 2017.
[7] Asr-e Iran (Iran), October 8, 2017.
[8] Foxnews.com, January 30, 2017.
[9] Yjc.ir, January 31, 2017; Tasnim (Iran), February 1, 2017.
[11] A military source in the Iranian Defense Ministry stated: "In a meeting last week with Revolutionary Guards commanders, Khamenei said that Israel was planning to attack Iran's nuclear installations and the Iranian military soon, and therefore defense and military preparedness should be boosted as soon as possible. Khamenei stressed that the increase in petroleum prices allowed Iran to allocate a larger budget to its military projects. [Iran's] Ministry of Defense received $1 billion to resume its Shihab 4 and Shihab 5 project. It is known that in the past, Iran conducted an experiment with Shihab 3 missiles whose range is 1,200 kilometers [and which can reach Israel], but [President] Khatami halted the project of the Shihab 4, whose range is 2,800 [which covers Western Europe], and the Shihab 5, whose range is 4,900-5,300 km [and which can reach the U.S.], because he thought it was a project incompatible with Iran's strategic interests and defense needs." Al-Sharq Al-Awsat (London), June 14, 2004.
[12] Mehrnews.com, December 14, 2013.
[13] ISNA (Iran), December 10, 2013.
[14] Fars (Iran), March 9, 2016. See MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 6349, Iran Launches Long-Range Missiles Emblazoned With Slogan: 'Israel Should Be Wiped Off The Face Of The Earth', March 16, 2016.
[16] Yjc.ir, August 18, 2015.
[17] Fars (Iran), November 2, 2015.
[18] Mashregh (Iran), November 3, 2015.
[19] Hebrew.irib.ir, November 4, 2015.
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måndag 30 oktober 2017

TT och Hamas har identiskt samma åsikt.

Sex muslimska terrorister dödade när tunnel förstördes

UTRIKES
ISRAEL. Sex palestinier (terrorister enlig normal terminologi)  dödades och flera skadades när israelisk militär förstörde en terrortunnel som grävts från Gazaremsan till Israel, mycket sannolikt med hjälp av svenska pengar. Enligt militären (och den stora delen av världen som inser att Hamas och Islamic Jihad är terrorister) förstördes tunneln på israeliskt territorium och överstelöjtnant Jonathan Conricus kallar händelsen "en svår och oacceptabel kränkning av Israels suveränitet".

IDF seals off illegal tunnels

Palestinian Arabs complain IDF sealed off tunnels illegally dug under Israel's security barrier.

Islamic Jihad: Bombing of terror tunnels 'dangerous escalation'

Terror group responds to destruction of its tunnels into Israel in which eight terrorists were killed using Israeli breakthrough.





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tisdag 17 oktober 2017

10% av utländska "läkare" klarar tentorna.

10% av utländska "läkare" klarar tentorna.

”Förödande” få utländska läkare klarar proven för svensk läkarlegitimation






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söndag 15 oktober 2017

Dags för USA att seriöst värdera FN etc.

 It’s Time for the United States to Grade the U.N. and Other International Organizations (full text)   (top)
…. Whether it’s the U.N. or other global institutions, the United States should regularly assess international organizations to see if they serve our priorities and collective goals effectively. ….
Two sober public servants are proposing just that ….  new Multilateral Aid Review Act would create an executive branch task force to assess 38 organizations, as well as a parallel peer review body, made up of experts appointed by the Republican and Democratic leaders of both the House and Senate. …
…. pick a few touchstones on which to grade both state-based agencies …. and hybrids that integrate private and civil society partners …  suggest five.
First, organizations must serve our nation’s and citizens’ interests. …. give the United States a large voice and a veto against mischief.
Second, it is worth testing whether bodies meet their own mandate. …. are they creeping away from their original intent?
Third, does an agency serve the basic values of the United States and of humankind? …. advance peace, prosperity, and pluralism? ….
Fourth, institutions need to be accountable and transparent. …. organizational processes should be open to scrutiny to avoid waste and graft. …..
Last …. worth trying to judge organizations’ comparative nimbleness. Some organizations have a capacity to evolve effectively, like NATO after the Cold War welcoming former foes. ….  The reports of the Multilateral Organization Performance Assessment Network are as thorough as its name is difficult to say. Publish What You Fund offers exacting assessments of organizations’ relative transparency. …. other major Western governments assess multilateral agencies’ efficacy and alignment with their members’ global aims, just as the U.K. and Australia do. It would be fitting and responsible for the United States to do so too, and on a formal basis. …..
…. help the executive and legislative branches decide which agencies deserve taxpayers’ money most. …. indeed, a benefit of graded reports …. is that they demonstrably give those graded an incentive to improve. 
Se även  http://usvnews.com/its-time-for-the-united-states-to-grade-the-un-and-other-international-organizations





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Israel ska fördubbla sin teknikkunniga arbetskraft på 10 år.

Något för Sverige att lära ifrån?

Israel aiming to double its tech workforce in a decade

Goal is to boost sector's employees from 270,000 to 500,000, and help startups stay in Israel and grow into full-fledged companies, Innovation Authority says in 2017 report

Läs mer »
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UAE, Israel Saudiarabien och Egypten supportar Trump mot Iran.

Sverige  emot Trump Trump1 och Israel är för, liksom ambassadör Bolton och Saudiarabien, Egypten, UAE. Åtskilliga arabstater är mer Trumpvänliga än vår utrikesblondin och vet lite bättre vad som händer i vår vida värld.. .

Trump expected to decertify Iran nuclear deal today

US President says Iran deal an 'embarrassment' to the US, gives Iran an easy path to nuclear weapons.
Experten Bolton säger:

'Trump signaled that he'll get out of the Iran deal'

Former US Ambassador to the UN John Bolton says US President Trump 'is on the right path' and the deal will eventually be canceled.

Saudi king praises Trump's strategy on Iran






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